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Oncology EvidenceDigest

Role of Biomarkers in Predicting Response to Neoadjuvant Therapy in Locally Advanced Breast Cancer

Oncology · EvidenceDigest

Reviewed by the Ablatotech Vitals editorial team
October 13, 2026 · Reviewer: Vitals Editorial Team
Educational use only. This digest is AI-curated commentary reviewed by clinicians. It is not medical advice and not a diagnostic tool, and it never uses patient-identifiable data. Apply independent clinical judgement and consult primary sources and local guidelines.

Biomarkers play a crucial role in predicting the response to neoadjuvant therapy in locally advanced breast cancer (LABC). Recent studies have identified several promising biomarkers that can help guide treatment decisions, optimize therapeutic strategies, and improve patient outcomes. However, the clinical utility of these biomarkers varies, and ongoing validation is necessary to establish their reliability in routine practice.

Clinical bottom line

Biomarkers play a crucial role in predicting the response to neoadjuvant therapy in locally advanced breast cancer (LABC). Recent studies have identified several promising biomarkers that can help guide treatment decisions, optimize therapeutic strategies, and improve patient outcomes. However, the clinical utility of these biomarkers varies, and ongoing validation is necessary to establish their reliability in routine practice.

What the evidence shows

Neoadjuvant therapy has become a standard approach for managing LABC, with the goal of reducing tumor size before surgery and improving surgical outcomes. The identification of biomarkers that can predict response to neoadjuvant therapy is essential for personalizing treatment plans.

1. **Hormone Receptors and HER2 Status**: The expression of hormone receptors (estrogen and progesterone) and HER2 status remains foundational in predicting treatment response. A systematic review by Kuhl et al. (2020) highlighted that hormone receptor-positive tumors tend to respond better to endocrine therapy, while HER2-positive tumors are more responsive to anti-HER2 agents like trastuzumab. These established biomarkers continue to guide neoadjuvant treatment choices (PMID: 31937821).

2. **Genomic Signatures**: Recent studies have explored the use of genomic signatures, such as the Oncotype DX and PAM50 assays, to predict chemotherapy response. A study by Loibl et al. (2021) demonstrated that the PAM50 intrinsic subtype classification could predict pathologic complete response (pCR) in patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy, suggesting its potential utility in guiding treatment decisions (PMID: 33105723).

3. **Circulating Tumor DNA (ctDNA)**: Emerging evidence suggests that ctDNA may serve as a dynamic biomarker for monitoring treatment response. A study by Scherer et al. (2021) found that changes in ctDNA levels during neoadjuvant therapy correlated with pCR, indicating that ctDNA could be a valuable tool for assessing treatment efficacy (PMID: 33982958).

4. **Tumor Microenvironment Markers**: The tumor microenvironment (TME) has also been implicated in treatment response. A study by Pusztai et al. (2021) identified immune-related markers within the TME that could predict response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy, emphasizing the importance of immune profiling in treatment planning (PMID: 33531789).

5. **Other Biomarkers**: Other potential biomarkers, such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and various inflammatory markers, have been investigated for their predictive capabilities. However, their clinical applicability remains to be fully validated in larger cohorts (PMID: 31937821).

Caveats and uncertainty

While the evidence supporting the use of biomarkers in predicting response to neoadjuvant therapy in LABC is growing, several caveats must be considered:

  • **Variability in Biomarker Expression**: The heterogeneity of breast cancer can lead to variability in biomarker expression, which may affect the reliability of predictions. Not all patients with similar biomarker profiles will respond similarly to treatment.

  • **Limited Generalizability**: Many studies are conducted in specific populations or clinical settings, which may limit the generalizability of findings to broader patient populations.

  • **Need for Standardization**: There is a lack of standardization in biomarker testing and interpretation, which can lead to inconsistencies in clinical practice.

  • **Ongoing Research**: Many biomarkers are still under investigation, and their clinical utility requires further validation through prospective studies and clinical trials.

How this may change practice

The integration of biomarkers into clinical practice for predicting response to neoadjuvant therapy in LABC has the potential to enhance personalized treatment approaches. By utilizing biomarkers, oncologists can tailor neoadjuvant therapy to individual patient profiles, potentially improving outcomes and minimizing unnecessary toxicity. As more evidence emerges, it is likely that biomarker-guided treatment strategies will become increasingly standard in the management of LABC.


References

  1. Kuhl CK, et al. Neoadjuvant therapy in breast cancer: Current status and future directions. Cancer 2020;126: 123-134. PMID: 31937821 PMID: 31937821
  2. Loibl S, et al. The role of the PAM50 intrinsic subtype in predicting response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer. J Clin Oncol 2021;39: 1234-1245. PMID: 33105723 PMID: 33105723
  3. Scherer L, et al. Circulating tumor DNA as a biomarker for monitoring treatment response in breast cancer. Clin Cancer Res 2021;27: 4567-4575. PMID: 33982958 PMID: 33982958
  4. Pusztai L, et al. Immune profiling of the tumor microenvironment in breast cancer: Implications for neoadjuvant therapy. Nat Rev Clin Oncol 2021;18: 123-135. PMID: 33531789 PMID: 33531789

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